CNBC reported today (Friday, December 6, 2019) that
U.S. non-farm payroll employment (probably compiled by the U.S. Bureau of Labor
Statistics) increased by 266,000 jobs in November 2019. This growth exceeded expectations.
At some point after the announcement, I think that I
heard Steve Liesman of CNBC say that Mark Zandi had suggested that from a
demographic perspective, the number of jobs added in the economy must
correspond with the number of people filling those newly created jobs. If I remember correctly, Steve Liesman noted
that this has not been a good predictor of job growth at this point, with job
growth outpacing forecasts. I think that
Steve Liesman said that eventually Mark Zandi would be correct.
Could some of this mismatch be explained by a greater
percentage of the population taking a second
job or a third job? If so, then what does that indicate about the
relative performance of the U.S. economy in generating well-paying jobs (so
that only one job is required to earn a living)? Did I hear correctly on CNBC that the labor
force participation rate in the U.S. actually decreased slightly in November 2019? If it did, then does that support the
hypothesis that people working at two or more jobs helps to explain the point
made by Steve Liesman?
I may have more on
this topic soon.
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